N an interview with an Indian news channel a day after presenting his
credentials to the Indian president, Salman Bashir, the new high
commissioner to India, has said that `the atmospherics have witnessed a
sea change` in the relationship between Pakistan and India. Mr Bashir
may well be right and in a relationship as fraught and contentious as
the one between the two South Asian neighbours `atmospherics` are
nothing to be scoffed at. However, thereis asense thatrather than Mr
Bashir`s upbeat assessment, the relationship is drifting again.
Trade
negotiations have been bogged down in minutiae, a more liberal visa
regime has seemingly been stalled and there`s next to nothing to show on
the fiendishly more difficult fronts: Kashmir, Siachen and terrorism.
Perhaps
what can reinvigorate the push for normalisation of ties between India
and Pakistan is the much talked about but never quite near enough visit
of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to Pakistan. Intransigence and
stubbornness of the security and foreign-policy establishments on both
sides is almost a given, so it comes down to finding someone who can
rise about the calcified and ossified positions of old and drag ties
forward.
Throughout his tenure as prime minister, Mr Singh has
appeared to be the man who could possibly make it happen buttime is
running out.
Weakened domestically and unable to find a partner
in Pakistan who is willing to meet him half way, the space for Prime
Minister Singh to manoeuvre on Pakistan has certainly diminished a great
deal. Here on the Pakistani side, the demand for `progress on all
fronts` has been wielded as a soft veto by the army-led security
establishment on improving trade and visa relations. The thought behind
that may well be that when Pakistan first signalled its intention to
move ahead on certain subjects, it hoped that India would reciprocate by
offering talks and the hope of stepping back from rigid Indian
positions on other subjects. But then the Indian side appeared to want
to keep the focus of the talks narrow and Pakistan`s interest
diminished.
Certainly, from the Indian side, the shadow of the
Mumbai attacks still lingers and a significant gesture from Pakistan
expediting the trial of the suspects here perhaps is yet to come. The
weight of history means that both sides have a thousand and one reasons
to not genuinely seek a full peace with one another. So officials like
Prime Minister Singh, so obviously and so genuinely interested in peace
with Pakistan, do not come about often. He should follow his instinct.
Roll the dice: visit Pakistan. Of such gestures is history sometimes made.
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