CAPTURED in Karachi in 2010 and kept in Pakistan despite requests from
the Afghan government to hand him over, Mullah Baradar has often been
brought up as an example of Pakistan`s real or perceived reluctance to
cooperate with Afghanistan and the US in facilitating talks with the
Afghan Taliban.
Reports appearing yesterday that Afghan
government representatives may have met the jailed Taliban commander in
Pakistan add a new twist to this narrative. It is always hard to
determine exactly what is going on behind the scenes when it comes to
Pakistan`s relations with Afghanistan and the US, particularly in the
realm of counterterrorism and Taliban reconciliation, and this report
too has been met with denials from Kabul.
And Mullah Baradar
still remains in Pakistani custody. But if true, these latest reports,
along with the travel of Taliban leaders from Pakistan to Qatar earlier
this year for talks with the Americans, suggest that Pakistan is perhaps
more willing to cooperate than is normally publicly acknowledged by
either Afghanistan or the US.
But the news about Baradar also
raises some of the same questions that previous instances of contact
with the Taliban have: who speaks for the Taliban, and who will the
Taliban talk to? For one, the level of Mullah Baradar`s influenceo r the
Taliban at this point is an open question. Ultimately, it is Mullah
Omar who calls the shots, and his former deputy has been out of the game
for two years now. Second, additional reports indicate that Mullah
Baradar did not seem particularly keen to talk to the Afghan government
representatives. This is not new; Taliban leaders have said they will
not negotiate with the Karzai administration, which they consider a
puppet regime controlled by the US. Mullah Baradar`s reported dismissal
of his interlocutors would only confirm this.
It is unclear, then, how fruitful this contact was.
But
this is in line with previous reports about talks with the Taliban,
about which little seems clear or encouraging. The Qatar round of talks
aimed at building confidence still appears to be stalled.
There
is noise about a potential Pakistani operation in North Waziristan in
response to American pressure, and if that takes place it will likely
have its own impact on the Taliban`s willingness to cooperate.
And
there are real limits to Pakistan`s ability to bring truly influential
Taliban leaders to the table. But it is also important for Pakistan to
do what it can and send the right signals to the world about its
commitment to stabilising the region.
If it did arrange talks with Baradar, it moved in the right direction.
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